AI Assistant · PRD
Production Optimization
Maximize sustainable output
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For you as · Team Leader · Nawaf Al-Mutairi
You have decisions waiting in Production Optimization. Approving unlocks value from the KWD 118M pool today.
KOC business value P-01 · Sustainable Capacity P-03 · Heavy Oil Ramp P-06 · Operational Excellence· Production Cost / bbl Cash KWD 118M annualised value
The problem today
Water cut climbing in Burgan mature zones; deferment leaks 1–2 MMbbl per quarter.
What Bayan does
Scans all 1,012 producing wells hourly and surfaces the barrels we can recover this week.
Path to KOC 2040
Sustainable Capacity60%
2.41 MMbbl/d (2.90 capacity) → 4.00 MMbbl/d by 2040
Heavy Oil Ramp19%
52 kbbl/d → 270 kbbl/d Lower Fars
Production optimisation scorecard
Industry-standard upstream KPIs · targets · peer benchmarks
Production health
Production efficiency at 94.1% — one point above KOC 2040 stretch. ESP optimisation on 22 wells recovered 4.6 kbpd. Water cut on Burgan West trending amber; gas-lift optimiser queued.
Prod. efficiency
Production efficiency (actual/potential)
94.1%
tgt93%+1.1
Peer NOC92%+2.1
Ahead of 2040 stretch — sustained by ESP optimiser.
Uptime
GC / facility uptime
98.6%
tgt98%+0.6
IOC top-quartile98.2%+0.4
Uptime steady; unplanned trips at GC-15 down 60% YoY.
Water cut
Field water cut
41%
tgt40%-1.0
Peer NOC38%-3.0
Amber — Burgan West sector driving the rise.
GOR
Gas-oil ratio
720scf/bbl
tgt750scf/bbl+30.0
Peer NOC800scf/bbl+80.0
Within envelope; gas capture project protecting margin.
Well decline
Base decline rate (annual)
6.4%
tgt7%+0.6
Peer NOC8%+1.6
Below plan — infill program and ESP uplift compensating.
Well availability
Producer well availability
96.2%
tgt95%+1.2
Peer NOC94%+2.2
Above target — predictive maintenance closing surveillance loop.
Going good
On plan right now
- Adjust ESP frequency · BG-441Recovers ~480 bbl/d. · 00:00
- Wells AI-optimized: 412+38 (30d)
Needs attention
Early warnings — not decisions yet
- Open choke +5% · RA-128 → GC-08Separator inlet pressure has 1.2 bar margin.
- BG-441 water cut crossing 80% — ESP frequency +3 Hz inside 72h recovers ~480 bbl/d, ROI $1.8M/yr.
- Wafra Heavy steam allocation re-balance projects +9.8 kbbl/d toward Lower Fars 270 kbbl/d ramp target.
External signals
- ADNOC (peer)· 6h agolowADNOC reports 22% ROP uplift from closed-loop drilling on Ghasha field↳ Same PDC-bit and lithology class as Lower Fars LF-A12 — worth a controlled pilot.
- Saudi Aramco (peer)· 1w agolowAramco publishes ML-based analog matching results for shared carbonate play↳ Analog-field library can absorb their public dataset; ~40 wells match Burgan Mauddud.
Needs your decision
Approval goes to the audit ledger
- Defer workover · MG-204Test data shows decline within natural range.Frees rig-day for higher-value well.09:30· 76%
- Run nodal · South Kuwait gathering networkForecast deferment risk 1.2 MMbbl over 30d.Identifies 2 bottleneck stations.12:00· 87%
- Publish 90-day production forecastBase/up/down case with confidence bands.Feeds executive brief + market agent.18:00· 90%
Automation
2 active rules
Recently auto-handled
- Auto-approve11:05 PMApproved choke +5% · RA-128 → GC-08Separator inlet margin 1.2 bar; confidence 0.81
Rules ready to run now
- Auto-approveAuto-approve choke +/−5% inside separator margin
- Auto-notifyNotify Reservoir Eng. on water-cut jump